{"id":10380,"date":"2025-06-28T05:14:53","date_gmt":"2025-06-28T05:14:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/?p=10380"},"modified":"2025-06-28T05:14:57","modified_gmt":"2025-06-28T05:14:57","slug":"asean-usa-si-avvicina-la-fine-della-tregua-commerciale","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/en\/asean-usa-si-avvicina-la-fine-della-tregua-commerciale\/","title":{"rendered":"ASEAN\u2013USA: The End of the Trade Truce Is Near"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><em>Trump-era tariffs have also targeted Southeast Asia, pushing the region\u2019s countries to seek agreements with Washington<\/em><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\"><p><strong>By Anna Affranio<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>With the expiration of the trade truce symbolically set for July 8, the United States and ASEAN find themselves at a critical juncture. The announcement made on April 2\u2014referred to as \u201cLiberation Day\u201d by the Trump administration\u2019s rhetoric\u2014has reignited tensions: Washington has announced its intention to impose tariffs on a wide range of products from, among others, Southeast Asian countries.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\" translation-block\">Specifically, the tariffs would affect Cambodia the most (with duties up to 49%), followed by Laos (48%), Vietnam (46%), Myanmar (44%), Thailand (36%), and Indonesia (32%). Malaysia, Brunei, the Philippines, and Singapore would instead be subject to lower tariffs, ranging from 10% to 24% (according to an official source). According to Washington, these measures are meant to correct trade imbalances and protect domestic industries, particularly in the electronics, agri-food, and automotive sectors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For many ASEAN countries, however, tariffs of this magnitude pose a serious risk to their economic model, which heavily relies on exports. For many of them, the United States is the primary export market. Moreover, in recent years, due to trade tensions between Beijing and Washington, the region has attracted massive investments from multinational companies seeking to reduce their dependency on China\u2014a strategic position now threatened by the newly introduced tariffs.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In an attempt to mitigate the damage ahead of the deadline, both multilateral and bilateral negotiations are underway. A multilateral summit between the United States and the entire ASEAN bloc is being arranged, with Singapore, Indonesia, and Vietnam pushing for an extension of the tariff truce\u2014at least for the most sensitive tech sectors. At the same time, Malaysia, which holds the rotating ASEAN chair, has proposed an extraordinary summit with Donald Trump, aiming for a high-level political agreement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the bilateral front, individual ASEAN countries like Cambodia, Vietnam, and Thailand are conducting separate negotiations with the U.S. to handle tariffs in a more targeted and flexible manner. As for Vietnam, multiple negotiation rounds have already taken place, focusing on textile and electronics exports. Hanoi has pledged stricter controls against illegal transshipments of Chinese goods and has shown openness to increasing imports of U.S. products. The leader of the Vietnamese Communist Party, To Lam, was among the first foreign leaders to speak with the White House after \u201cLiberation Day\u201d and is directly involved in the negotiations.\nThailand has also taken action. Its government was among the first to set up a technical team to negotiate a reduction of the current 36% tariff. Bangkok has submitted a proposal that includes expanding market access for American products and Thai investments in the U.S., potentially creating American jobs in return. According to the optimistic view of Thailand\u2019s Minister of Commerce, negotiations could bring the tariff down to 10%. However, no official agreements have been signed yet.\nCambodia, the hardest-hit by the tariffs and with exports to the U.S. accounting for about 38% of its total exports\u2014mainly clothing and footwear\u2014has responded similarly. Fearing severe economic and social consequences, its government has already held two rounds of virtual talks with Washington and aims to launch direct negotiations soon. As a goodwill gesture, Phnom Penh has cut import duties on 19 categories of U.S. products, reducing them from as high as 35% to around 5%, and has strengthened internal controls to prevent potential fraudulent export practices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, China is watching and acting. Beijing has recently updated its free trade agreement with the entire ASEAN bloc and continues to strengthen cooperation with the region in infrastructure, logistics, and energy. The goal is clear: to present itself as a stable and predictable partner, in contrast to the more volatile and aggressive American trade approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Three scenarios are most likely: a technical extension of the truce for a few months, an immediate return to full tariffs, or an intermediate solution involving sectoral exemptions and quarterly monitoring. In any case, the risk is that ASEAN may emerge from this period more fragmented, as each country might pursue separate and independent negotiations with the U.S. This could have far-reaching consequences for supply chains, foreign investment, and the region\u2019s overall geopolitical positioning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The decisions made in the coming weeks will have long-term effects not only on ASEAN\u2019s economy but also on the entire commercial architecture of the Asia-Pacific region.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I dazi trumpiani hanno preso di mira anche il Sud-Est asiatico, spingendo i Paesi della regione a correre ai ripari cercando accordi con Washington Di Anna Affranio Con la scadenza della tregua commerciale fissata simbolicamente per l\u20198 luglio, Stati Uniti e ASEAN si trovano in un momento cruciale. L\u2019annuncio dello scorso 2 aprile, definito \u201cLiberation<a class=\"btn btn-primary more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/en\/asean-usa-si-avvicina-la-fine-della-tregua-commerciale\/\">Continue reading<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":2242,"featured_media":10381,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_price":"","_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_header":"","_tribe_default_ticket_provider":"","_tribe_ticket_capacity":"0","_ticket_start_date":"","_ticket_end_date":"","_tribe_ticket_show_description":"","_tribe_ticket_show_not_going":false,"_tribe_ticket_use_global_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_global_stock_level":"","_global_stock_mode":"","_global_stock_cap":"","_tribe_rsvp_for_event":"","_tribe_ticket_going_count":"","_tribe_ticket_not_going_count":"","_tribe_tickets_list":[],"_tribe_ticket_has_attendee_info_fields":false,"_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":0,"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":""},"categories":[92,729],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v17.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>ASEAN-USA: si avvicina la fine della tregua commerciale - Associazione Italia Asean<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/en\/asean-usa-si-avvicina-la-fine-della-tregua-commerciale\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ASEAN-USA: si avvicina la fine della tregua commerciale - Associazione Italia Asean\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"I dazi trumpiani hanno preso di mira anche il Sud-Est asiatico, spingendo i Paesi della regione a correre ai ripari cercando accordi con Washington Di Anna Affranio Con la scadenza della tregua commerciale fissata simbolicamente per l\u20198 luglio, Stati Uniti e ASEAN si trovano in un momento cruciale. L\u2019annuncio dello scorso 2 aprile, definito \u201cLiberationContinue reading\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/en\/asean-usa-si-avvicina-la-fine-della-tregua-commerciale\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Associazione Italia Asean\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-06-28T05:14:53+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-06-28T05:14:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/1-VEN-27.06-Affranio-foto.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"794\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"532\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Anna Affranio\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/\",\"name\":\"Associazione Italia Asean\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/asean-usa-si-avvicina-la-fine-della-tregua-commerciale\/#primaryimage\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/1-VEN-27.06-Affranio-foto.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/1-VEN-27.06-Affranio-foto.jpg\",\"width\":794,\"height\":532},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/asean-usa-si-avvicina-la-fine-della-tregua-commerciale\/#webpage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/asean-usa-si-avvicina-la-fine-della-tregua-commerciale\/\",\"name\":\"ASEAN-USA: si avvicina la fine della tregua commerciale - Associazione Italia Asean\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/asean-usa-si-avvicina-la-fine-della-tregua-commerciale\/#primaryimage\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-06-28T05:14:53+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-06-28T05:14:57+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/#\/schema\/person\/3ac895bb7b527510723b38d245766ffe\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/asean-usa-si-avvicina-la-fine-della-tregua-commerciale\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/asean-usa-si-avvicina-la-fine-della-tregua-commerciale\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/asean-usa-si-avvicina-la-fine-della-tregua-commerciale\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"ASEAN-USA: si avvicina la fine della tregua commerciale\"}]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/#\/schema\/person\/3ac895bb7b527510723b38d245766ffe\",\"name\":\"Anna Affranio\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/#personlogo\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/avatars\/2242\/6141f4a15ddfb-bpfull.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/avatars\/2242\/6141f4a15ddfb-bpfull.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Anna Affranio\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/en\/\/members\/anna-affranio\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"ASEAN-USA: si avvicina la fine della tregua commerciale - Associazione Italia Asean","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/en\/asean-usa-si-avvicina-la-fine-della-tregua-commerciale\/","og_locale":"en_GB","og_type":"article","og_title":"ASEAN-USA: si avvicina la fine della tregua commerciale - Associazione Italia Asean","og_description":"I dazi trumpiani hanno preso di mira anche il Sud-Est asiatico, spingendo i Paesi della regione a correre ai ripari cercando accordi con Washington Di Anna Affranio Con la scadenza della tregua commerciale fissata simbolicamente per l\u20198 luglio, Stati Uniti e ASEAN si trovano in un momento cruciale. 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