{"id":8911,"date":"2024-07-22T05:25:00","date_gmt":"2024-07-22T05:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/?p=8911"},"modified":"2024-07-26T05:28:19","modified_gmt":"2024-07-26T05:28:19","slug":"lasean-e-il-possibile-trump-bis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/en\/lasean-e-il-possibile-trump-bis\/","title":{"rendered":"ASEAN and the possible Trump bis"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>We publish here the excerpt of an analysis by Joshua Kurlantzick for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cfr.org\/\">Council on Foreign Relations<\/a><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>After the debate for the United States presidential elections, even in South-East Asian countries people are starting to wonder about the possible meaning of a possible return of Donald Trump to the White House. In recent years, with the exception of the Philippines under Ferdinand Marcos Jr., who strongly sided with the United States, the countries of the ASEAN area have attempted to maintain their traditional multipolar approach between the two great powers. This is demonstrated very well by the actions, always based on the principle of neutrality, of Indonesia and Vietnam. But a second Trump administration could increase tensions between the United States and China to the point that even Southeast Asian countries, long adept at striking a balance, may find it difficult to avoid taking sides. A second Trump administration is unlikely to focus much on the region. In his first term, Trump forged personal ties with some Southeast Asian leaders, such as former Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte. Overall, however, Trump has given the region a relatively low priority. Furthermore, his protectionist approach to trade stood in stark contrast to the economic integration that had occurred throughout East Asia. In this vacuum, however, it was the great powers such as Japan and China that led the economy. Trump gave many speeches in the 2023-2024 election season and talked a lot about China. He made little, if any, mention of a future approach to Southeast Asia. In addition to trying to keep the Philippines firmly in the U.S. camp, a second Trump administration would likely put enormous pressure on states like Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, Singapore and perhaps others to go along with U.S. efforts to push multinationals, including those based in Southeast Asia, to leave China, moving their supply chains. Trump, intensely focused on the belief that virtually all foreign countries trade unfairly with America, may be even less shy, in a second term, about imposing tariffs on the same Southeast Asian states.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pubblichiamo qui lo stralcio di un\u2019analisi di Joshua Kurlantzick per il Council on Foreign Relations Dopo il dibattito per le elezioni presidenziali degli Stati Uniti, anche nei Paesi del Sud-Est asiatico ci si inizia a interrogare sul possibile significato di un eventuale ritorno di Donald Trump alla Casa Bianca. Negli ultimi anni, con l\u2019eccezione delle<a class=\"btn btn-primary more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/en\/lasean-e-il-possibile-trump-bis\/\">Continue reading<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":8912,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_price":"","_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_header":"","_tribe_default_ticket_provider":"","_tribe_ticket_capacity":"0","_ticket_start_date":"","_ticket_end_date":"","_tribe_ticket_show_description":"","_tribe_ticket_show_not_going":false,"_tribe_ticket_use_global_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_global_stock_level":"","_global_stock_mode":"","_global_stock_cap":"","_tribe_rsvp_for_event":"","_tribe_ticket_going_count":"","_tribe_ticket_not_going_count":"","_tribe_tickets_list":[],"_tribe_ticket_has_attendee_info_fields":false,"_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":0,"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":""},"categories":[92,729],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v17.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>L\u2019ASEAN e il possibile Trump bis - Associazione Italia Asean<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/en\/lasean-e-il-possibile-trump-bis\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"L\u2019ASEAN e il possibile Trump bis - Associazione Italia Asean\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Pubblichiamo qui lo stralcio di un\u2019analisi di Joshua Kurlantzick per il Council on Foreign Relations Dopo il dibattito per le elezioni presidenziali degli Stati Uniti, anche nei Paesi del Sud-Est asiatico ci si inizia a interrogare sul possibile significato di un eventuale ritorno di Donald Trump alla Casa Bianca. Negli ultimi anni, con l\u2019eccezione delleContinue reading\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/en\/lasean-e-il-possibile-trump-bis\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Associazione Italia Asean\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-07-22T05:25:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-07-26T05:28:19+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/7-LUN-22.7-Trump-foto.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1160\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"711\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Redazione\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/\",\"name\":\"Associazione Italia Asean\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/lasean-e-il-possibile-trump-bis\/#primaryimage\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/7-LUN-22.7-Trump-foto.jpeg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/7-LUN-22.7-Trump-foto.jpeg\",\"width\":1160,\"height\":711},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/lasean-e-il-possibile-trump-bis\/#webpage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/lasean-e-il-possibile-trump-bis\/\",\"name\":\"L\\u2019ASEAN e il possibile Trump bis - Associazione Italia Asean\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/lasean-e-il-possibile-trump-bis\/#primaryimage\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-07-22T05:25:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-07-26T05:28:19+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/#\/schema\/person\/5f42a9b786e7464950082a049475085c\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/lasean-e-il-possibile-trump-bis\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/lasean-e-il-possibile-trump-bis\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/lasean-e-il-possibile-trump-bis\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"L\\u2019ASEAN e il possibile Trump bis\"}]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/#\/schema\/person\/5f42a9b786e7464950082a049475085c\",\"name\":\"Redazione\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/#personlogo\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/avatars\/12\/5dd7e6b2b87b8-bpfull.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/avatars\/12\/5dd7e6b2b87b8-bpfull.png\",\"caption\":\"Redazione\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/en\/\/members\/andrealamberti\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"L\u2019ASEAN e il possibile Trump bis - Associazione Italia Asean","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.itasean.org\/en\/lasean-e-il-possibile-trump-bis\/","og_locale":"en_GB","og_type":"article","og_title":"L\u2019ASEAN e il possibile Trump bis - Associazione Italia Asean","og_description":"Pubblichiamo qui lo stralcio di un\u2019analisi di Joshua Kurlantzick per il Council on Foreign Relations Dopo il dibattito per le elezioni presidenziali degli Stati Uniti, anche nei Paesi del Sud-Est asiatico ci si inizia a interrogare sul possibile significato di un eventuale ritorno di Donald Trump alla Casa Bianca. 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